Burst Lightning

Top Performing Decklists

Deck Creator Record Best Finish
Red Deck Wins luffydochapeudepalha 9-1 1st in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12765769
Gruul Aggro mogged 9-1 1st in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12769892
Gruul Aggro mogged 8-2 1st in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12765784
Rakdos Aggro stalonge 7-1 1st in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12769901
Red Deck Wins numberonenoob 8-2 2nd in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12769907
Izzet Spellslingers sanpop 8-2 2nd in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12765784
Red Deck Wins kablewire 8-2 2nd in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12769892
Red Deck Wins latorretta 7-2 1st in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12769073
Gruul Aggro mogged 7-1 None
Izzet Spellslingers platinum-mythic rank player 6-0 1st in Traditional Standard Ranked Decklists: April 14, 2025

Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)

Win Rate Impact
+1.6%
vs average deck
Top Table Win Rate
81.7%
placement-weighted
Meta Trend
+3.7%
recent vs earlier
Sample Size
230
decks
Tournament Results
92
1st place
142
top 8
Average Copies
3.8
per deck

Meta Performance Analysis

Burst Lightning ranks #45 out of approximately 405 cards in raw efficiency (top 11%).

Game Impact Factor
80.83
How much this card influences game outcomes
Color Differential
+12.88%

Red average: 63.1%

Performance compared to other Red cards

Based on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Burst Lightning is a very strong card that performs well in most contexts.

Recommended number of copies: 3

Win Rate Timeline

Card Efficiency Analysis

Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
76.5
Win percentage points per mana invested
Relative Efficiency
1.00x
Compared to average cards of same mana value

Performance Efficiency: 47.23 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)

At 1 mana, the average win rate in the format is 76.2%. Burst Lightning has a win rate of 76.5%, making it 0.5% better than other 1-mana cards.

Top Performing Partners

Card Name Type Deck Count Win Rate 1st Places
Slick Sequence Instant 17 91.0% 13
Third Path Iconoclast Creature — Human Monk 34 84.2% 19
Bulwark Ox Creature — Ox Mount 5 80.0% 3
Bruse Tarl, Roving Rancher Legendary Creature — Human Warrior 6 77.4% 3
Heritage Reclamation Instant 10 77.1% 4
Stock Up Sorcery 103 74.6% 44
Cori-Steel Cutter Artifact — Equipment 139 73.9% 63
Crumb and Get It Instant 7 73.8% 4
Bounce Off Instant 28 71.5% 16
Furnace Reins Sorcery 24 70.4% 12

Card Synergy Analysis

Cards that perform better with Burst Lightning than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.

Card Name Type Mana Decks Win Rate Together Win Rate Apart Synergy Score
Slick Sequence Instant 2 14 88.0% 77.7% +10.3%
Chandra, Spark Hunter Legendary Planeswalker — Chandra 4 7 83.7% 76.6% +7.2%
Disdainful Stroke Instant 2 19 82.3% 75.9% +6.4%
Shore Up Instant 1 29 85.7% 79.4% +6.3%
Stock Up Sorcery 3 82 82.2% 76.2% +6.0%
Turn Inside Out Instant 1 15 82.7% 77.1% +5.6%
Ral, Crackling Wit Legendary Planeswalker — Ral 4 10 82.4% 77.0% +5.3%
This Town Ain't Big Enough Instant 5 17 80.6% 75.7% +4.9%
Soul-Guide Lantern Artifact 1 7 79.3% 74.7% +4.6%
Spell Pierce Instant 1 90 81.2% 76.8% +4.5%

Top Archetypes

Archetype Deck Count % of Archetype Win Rate
Gruul Aggro 1859 89.5% 47.1%
Red Deck Wins 1357 98.5% 52.8%
Boros Burn 368 93.9% 47.0%
Izzet Spellslingers 126 88.7% 71.4%
Temur Otters 112 33.3% 41.8%

Statistics Explanation

Statistic Description Formula
Win Rate Impact How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks)
Top Table Win Rate A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight)
Meta Trend Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period)
Confidence Factor A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). log10(Number of decks + 1)
Average Copies The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks)
Card Synergy Score Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates)
Raw Efficiency Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. (Win rate) / (Mana value)
Relative Efficiency How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value)
Performance Efficiency Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value)
Game Impact Factor A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100)
Color Differential How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. Win rate - Average win rate for same color

All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.